Fudging on the Resurrection Calculus

The article critiques the use of Bayesian reasoning to support the resurrection of Jesus, asserting that the presumed high probability is flawed. It identifies five problematic modeling levers, which bias the conclusion, including the suppression of alternative explanations and conflation of testimonies. The critique argues that once these biases are corrected, the posterior probability of the resurrection hypothesis drops significantly. Ultimately, it concludes that skepticism is a more rational position.